Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.214561 3.766396 4.354397 5.024458 5.763742 6.551469 7.451201
2024-10-20 2.413668 3.168363 4.033630 5.085612 6.316552 7.698362 9.353580
2024-10-27 1.789462 2.630612 3.665496 5.000116 6.643386 8.569612 10.966341
2024-11-03 1.429213 2.333259 3.518106 5.124816 7.187055 9.688114 12.891717
2024-11-10 1.145756 2.074707 3.368177 5.204642 7.649751 10.702812 14.709392
2024-11-17 0.874062 1.773501 3.109107 5.095992 7.838208 11.358810 16.084719
2024-11-24 0.659302 1.509585 2.858239 4.958297 7.956957 11.906739 17.318263
2024-12-01 0.514723 1.326687 2.697303 4.921509 8.193428 12.598675 18.738806
2024-12-08 0.395567 1.158174 2.531310 4.852898 8.367598 13.198733 20.040889
2024-12-15 0.345799 1.113477 2.561583 5.080732 8.969560 14.389258 22.146091
2024-12-22 0.278311 1.011976 2.477831 5.116247 9.283059 15.183263 23.729596
2024-12-29 0.250609 0.994557 2.541714 5.391329 9.960143 16.497197 26.039738
2025-01-05 0.216868 0.955269 2.563751 5.604172 10.561139 17.734825 28.295392
2025-01-12 0.176755 0.885748 2.517911 5.697012 10.979374 18.722174 30.227831
2025-01-19 0.130806 0.779072 2.380570 5.617216 11.119444 19.307583 31.609630
2025-01-26 0.108099 0.735851 2.369447 5.758766 11.612944 20.415997 33.741407
2025-02-02 0.086438 0.684960 2.333064 5.848443 12.021282 21.403055 35.713166
2025-02-09 0.059939 0.595896 2.193706 5.731952 12.082248 21.869433 36.946329
2025-02-16 0.039105 0.510601 2.045706 5.583050 12.077124 22.229540 38.026176
2025-02-23 0.026693 0.453892 1.958006 5.543393 12.250912 22.860404 39.503025
2025-03-02 0.016933 0.397378 1.858346 5.468952 12.357769 23.386102 40.830045
2025-03-09 0.014509 0.395080 1.911755 5.716654 13.034746 24.807621 43.491627
2025-03-16 0.009811 0.362137 1.868809 5.755267 13.341093 25.653468 45.312341